Risk simply means that we are not sure about what will happen in the future. If you know everything about the future, you haven’t got any risk. However, if you are mortal like the rest of us you are constantly wrestling with what might, or might not happen, in the future. That’s risk. Then you think about what you might do to influence or respond to the future event. That’s risk management. Risk management isn’t about having a risk committee or...
A company with just £24m annual revenue goes bankrupt with £1.9 bn of debts and a further £0.6m financing commitments. It made two appallingly large and risky investments that, not surprisingly, went disastrously wrong. It should have made national headlines amid demands for prosecutions and disbarments, as well as calls to tighten company law and the Corporate Governance Code. Except that it isn’t a company. It’s a local authority, Woking...
A ‘government source’ is quoted in the Times (25 May 2021), trying to defend the government against accusations that it failed to prepare adequately for the pandemic: “The reason we prepared for flu is because we have flu epidemics every year. The idea that you prioritise what’s least likely to happen is for the birds. This was a novel virus. The clue’s in the name…we didn’t know that it was asymptomatic. It’s very difficult to prepare for...
I travelled from Tashkent to Moscow on an Aeroflot Ilyushin 86 in the early 1980s. The seats were basic metal framed deckchairs, screwed to the floor1. Why don’t airlines nowadays use simple deckchairs on airplanes, instead of very heavy, crash-resistant ones? The fuel saving alone would be enormous and the temptation, especially to low cost carriers, must seem overwhelming. The answer is obvious, I hear you say; safety. But airlines spend...
Imagine that you are worried about your infirm mother and want to make sure that you do everything to protect her. If you adopted typical corporate risk management practice, you would identify a risk that she falls over. You would then calculate the impact (maybe a broken bone) and then identify some mitigations, such as putting some cushions around her bed or installing a handrail. All sensible, but not very through. What if the consequence...
Corporate Governance
Economics
Notes From A NED